Inflation: The Invisible Tax That Ruins Your Savings
"2% inflation per year. It seems reasonable. In 35 years, that's half your savings evaporating. Coincidence?"
Table of Contents
- What Is Inflation Really?
- How Inflation Is Measured (and Manipulated)
- Who Wins With Inflation?
- Who Loses With Inflation?
- The Cantillon Effect Explained
- Why 2% Inflation as a Target?
- How to Protect Yourself From Inflation?
- FAQ: Your Questions About Inflation
- Conclusion: Understanding Inflation to Protect Yourself
Meta Title: Inflation: The Invisible Tax That Ruins Your Savings Meta Description: Discover how inflation silently erodes your purchasing power. Who wins, who loses, and how to protect your savings from this hidden tax. Keywords: inflation, purchasing power, savings erosion, invisible tax, Cantillon effect, monetary policy, CPI manipulation
Every year, central banks target 2% inflation. This number seems so innocent, so moderate, that no one questions it. Yet behind this apparent moderation hides the greatest plunder in modern history.
Inflation is not a natural phenomenon. It is deliberately created by monetary policies. And its redistributive effects are far from neutral: it systematically impoverishes certain categories of the population for the benefit of others.
In this article, we will dismantle the myth of "healthy inflation", understand who really benefits from this system, and discover why Bitcoin was designed as the antidote to this programmed erosion of your wealth.
What Is Inflation Really?
Inflation is not rising prices but monetary expansion.
Official definition vs reality
Official definition: Inflation is the generalized and sustained increase in the prices of goods and services.
Real definition: Inflation is the expansion of the money supply. Rising prices are just a consequence of this money creation.
This distinction is not semantic — it's fundamental to understanding the phenomenon.
When the central bank and commercial banks create new money, this money doesn't create new real wealth. It simply dilutes the value of all existing money. It's like adding water to soup: the volume increases, but the flavor concentration decreases.
Milton Friedman Was Right
The famous economist Milton Friedman summarized it perfectly:
"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon, in the sense that it can only occur with a growth of the quantity of money faster than that of production."
This truth is now obscured. Media and politicians talk about inflation as if it were a natural disaster: "Inflation hits households", like lightning or hail.
But inflation doesn't fall from the sky. It comes from central bank printers.
Inflation Is Not Rising Prices
Let's imagine a simple economy:
- 100 units of money in circulation
- 100 goods available
- Average price: 1 unit per good
Now, the central bank creates 100 additional units:
- 200 units of money in circulation
- Still 100 goods (money creation doesn't create real wealth)
- Average price: 2 units per good
That's inflation. Rising prices are just the symptom of monetary dilution. Blaming rising prices is like blaming the fever instead of the infection.
How Inflation Is Measured (and Manipulated)
Governments tamper with indices to display lower inflation.
The Consumer Price Index
In France, INSEE calculates the CPI (Consumer Price Index) by tracking a "basket" of goods and services representative of household consumption.
This basket includes about 200 categories:
- Food (16%)
- Transport (15%)
- Housing, water, energy (14%)
- Leisure and culture (9%)
- Restaurants and hotels (8%)
- Health (7%)
- Etc.
Official inflation 2022: 5.2% Official inflation 2023: 4.9% Official inflation 2024: ~2.5%
Do these figures seem to match your reality?
What Is Not (Well) Counted
The CPI has several structural biases that systematically underestimate real inflation:
1. Investment Real Estate
The purchase price of housing is not directly included in the CPI. Only rents are. Yet property prices have multiplied by 2.5 in 20 years in major cities.
If you're a first-time buyer, this housing "non-inflation" has made property ownership nearly impossible.
2. Hedonic Substitution
When beef becomes too expensive, INSEE considers that households buy chicken. The basket is adjusted. Result: "official" inflation drops, but so does your quality of life.
3. Quality Adjustments
If a phone costs the same but has better features, INSEE considers that its "real" price has dropped. Your wallet hasn't noticed anything.
4. Mandatory Expenses
Mandatory expenses (housing, energy, insurance) account for well over 50% of modest households' budgets. Yet these items increase faster than the average CPI.
Official Index Manipulation
What few people know: governments have officially changed the inflation calculation method to make it appear lower.
In the United States - Boskin Commission (1996)
In 1996, the Boskin Commission (appointed by the US Senate) recommended modifying the CPI calculation. Result: official inflation was artificially reduced by 1.1% per year.
📄 Source: "Toward a More Accurate Measure of the Cost of Living", Final Report to the Senate Finance Committee, December 4, 1996
Why this change?
"If the government had continued to use the 1980 CPI calculation method, official inflation would be about 7% higher."
— John Williams, economist, founder of ShadowStats.com
📄 Source: ShadowStats.com - Alternate Inflation Charts, Methodology
Hidden consequences:
- Retirement pensions indexed to a rigged index = robbed retirees
- Tax brackets adjusted too slowly = disguised taxes
- Inflation-indexed bonds = negative real return
Felt vs Official Inflation
| Source | Announced Inflation | Method |
|---|---|---|
| INSEE (official CPI) | 2-5% | Post-1996, hedonic adjustments |
| "Felt" inflation (surveys) | 8-12% | Household perception |
| ShadowStats (pre-1990 method) | 10-15% | Old calculation, without manipulation |
| M2 aggregate (money supply) | 5-15% | Money supply growth |
📄 Comparative source: shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
Why this gap? Because households suffer increases where it hurts (rent, gas, food), while the CPI averages with declining items (electronics, imported textiles).
Who Wins With Inflation?
Indebted states, borrowers, and those close to the money tap.
Inflation is not neutral. It redistributes wealth systematically. Here are the winners:
1. Indebted States
This is the main winner. When the State borrows €100 billion and repays 20 years later after 50% cumulative inflation, it repays in real value only €50 billion.
Debt "melts" on its own. That's why governments love a bit of inflation: it lightens their burden without them having to make an unpopular decision.
France has €3,200 billion in debt. With 5% inflation for 10 years, this debt loses 40% of its real value. It's as if €1,280 billion had been repaid... by savers.
2. Fixed-Rate Borrowers
If you borrowed €200,000 at 2% fixed in 2020, and inflation is 5% in 2023-2024, you're repaying with euros worth less.
Your salary has (somewhat) increased with inflation, but your monthly payments stayed fixed. In real terms, you've gotten richer at the expense of savers.
3. Real Asset Owners
"Real" assets — real estate, stocks, gold, commodities — adjust their prices to inflation. If currency loses 50% of its value, real estate doubles in nominal price.
The rich, who own these assets, preserve their real wealth. The poor, who only have euros in checking accounts, become poorer.
4. First Recipients of New Money
This is the Cantillon effect, which we detail below. Banks, large corporations, and States are the first beneficiaries of money creation. They spend new money before prices rise.
Who Loses With Inflation?
Savers, workers, retirees, and renters: the systematic victims.
1. Savers
This is the main victim. Every euro in your checking account, your savings account, your euro-denominated life insurance, loses purchasing power every year.
Simulation over 20 years with 3% inflation:
| Initial Savings | Nominal Value | Real Value (Purchasing Power) |
|---|---|---|
| €100,000 | €100,000 | €55,000 |
You haven't touched anything. Your statement still shows €100,000. But you can only buy what €55,000 bought 20 years ago.
Inflation is an invisible tax on your past work.
2. Workers
Wages increase... but always behind inflation. By the time collective agreements are renegotiated, raises are granted, inflation has already done its work.
Evolution over 10 years:
- Cumulative inflation: +35%
- Median wage increase: +20%
- Real purchasing power loss: -15%
It's mathematical: if your salary increases slower than prices, you become poorer.
3. Retirees
Retirement pensions are indexed to inflation... with a one-year lag, and often incompletely.
During high inflation, retirees are the most vulnerable:
- Fixed income
- No possibility to renegotiate
- High mandatory expenses (health, energy)
- Savings melting away
4. Renters
Double penalty for renters:
- Rents increase (indexed to IRL)
- They have no appreciating real estate asset
- They don't benefit from the "fixed-rate borrower" effect
- Their savings for a potential purchase melts faster than real estate rises
A renter saving to buy is on a backward-moving treadmill: they run, but the finish line recedes faster.
The Cantillon Effect Explained
The first to receive new money get richer at the expense of the last.
Richard Cantillon, the Forgotten Prophet
In 1730, Irish economist Richard Cantillon observed a crucial phenomenon: when new money enters the economy, it doesn't spread uniformly.
Those who receive new money first can use it at old prices. Those who receive it last suffer new prices... without having benefited from the extra money.
Modern Application: Quantitative Easing
When the ECB does "Quantitative Easing", it:
- Creates money ex nihilo
- Buys bonds from banks and large investors
- These actors invest in financial markets and real estate
- Prices of these assets rise
- Much later, money trickles down to the real economy
- Consumer prices increase
- Workers ask for raises
- Companies pass on to prices
Between step 1 and step 8, several years can pass. During this time, first beneficiaries (banks, investment funds, large fortunes) have bought assets at low prices.
The Vicious Circle of Enrichment
The Cantillon effect explains why inequality explodes since the abandonment of the gold standard in 1971:
- Those close to the "money tap" get richer with each creation
- They buy assets that rise
- Workers see their purchasing power stagnate
- The gap widens generation after generation
It's not capitalism that creates these inequalities — it's monetary manipulation.
Why 2% Inflation as a Target?
An arbitrary number become global dogma: 81% loss in 40 years.
The Origin: New Zealand, 1989
The 2% inflation target is neither scientific nor natural. It comes from a political decision made in New Zealand in 1989.
The governor of the New Zealand central bank had to define a numerical target. He chose 2% almost arbitrarily — low enough to seem responsible, high enough to allow "room for maneuver".
This target was then adopted by:
- The Fed (formally in 2012)
- The ECB (since its creation in 1998)
- The Bank of England
- Most central banks worldwide
Official Justification
Central banks justify 2% with several arguments:
-
Avoid deflation: Slightly positive inflation gives margin before falling into deflation (considered catastrophic)
-
Facilitate wage adjustments: Rather than lowering nominal wages (politically impossible), let inflation lower them in real terms
-
Encourage investment: If money loses value, people are encouraged to spend or invest rather than hoard
-
Monetary room for maneuver: Being able to lower real rates into negative territory if needed
Hidden Reality
These justifications mask the true goal: allowing the State to finance itself through inflation.
2% per year is:
- 22% in 10 years
- 39% in 20 years
- 64% in 30 years
- 81% in 40 years
A working life (40 years), and your savings have lost 81% of their purchasing power with "only" 2% inflation per year.
It's a slow but total expropriation, gradual enough that no one protests.
How to Protect Yourself From Inflation?
Real estate, gold, stocks, and Bitcoin: exiting fiat currency.
Traditional Real Assets
Real Estate
Advantages:
- Prices generally follow long-term inflation
- Leverage effect (fixed-rate borrowing)
- Indexed rental income
Disadvantages:
- Illiquid (difficult to sell quickly)
- Heavily taxed (property tax, wealth tax, capital gains)
- Maintenance costs
- Localized bubble risk
Gold
Advantages:
- 5,000 years of store of value
- No counterparty (no debt)
- Universally recognized
Disadvantages:
- No yield (produces nothing)
- Secure storage costs
- Difficult to divide for transactions
- Can be confiscated (1933 in USA)
Quality Stocks
Advantages:
- Companies pass inflation on to their prices
- Growing dividends
- Exposure to economic growth
Disadvantages:
- Short-term volatility
- Correlation with crises
- Taxation on dividends and capital gains
Inflation-Indexed Bonds
In France, OATi (inflation-indexed bonds) and OAT€i (indexed to eurozone inflation) offer direct protection.
In the USA, TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) play the same role.
Problem: Protection is based on official CPI, which underestimates real inflation.
Bitcoin: Anti-Inflation by Design
Bitcoin was explicitly designed to counter monetary inflation:
- Fixed supply: Maximum 21 million bitcoins, never more
- Decreasing issuance: The halving divides creation by 2 every 4 years
- No central authority: No one can decide to create more
- Verifiable: Anyone can audit the total supply
In 2024, Bitcoin's inflation is about 1.7% (new bitcoins mined divided by existing supply). After the 2024 halving, it drops to 0.85%. In 2028, 0.4%. And so on until 0.
Monetary inflation comparison:
| Asset/Currency | Annual Supply Inflation |
|---|---|
| US Dollar (M2) | 3-15% depending on years |
| Euro (M2) | 3-12% depending on years |
| Gold | ~1.5-2% (mining production) |
| Bitcoin (post-2024) | 0.85% |
| Bitcoin (post-2028) | 0.4% |
Bitcoin is structurally disinflationary, then deflationary (bitcoins are lost every year).
FAQ: Your Questions About Inflation
Isn't a little inflation good for the economy?
That's the central banks' main argument. But it's debatable:
The argument: Inflation encourages people to spend rather than hoard, stimulating the economy.
The counter-argument:
- Savings finances productive investment
- Credit consumption is not real growth
- Historically the most stable economies had near-zero inflation (gold standard)
- Japan had 30 years of near-deflation and remains the 3rd world economy
The idea that "inflation is good" is a recent dogma, not an established economic truth.
Isn't deflation worse?
That's the central banks' big boogeyman. But deflation is not intrinsically bad:
Crisis deflation (bad): Demand collapse, unemployment, deflationary spiral (Great Depression)
Productivity deflation (good): Prices fall because technology makes everything cheaper. This is what has happened in electronics for 50 years.
During the gold standard (1870-1914), prices slightly declined on average, while living standards improved considerably.
The problem with deflation is mainly that it prevents governments from going into debt and banks from profiting from inflation.
How do I calculate real inflation on my assets?
Simple method:
- List your main monthly expenses
- Compare with 5 or 10 years ago
- Calculate the percentage increase
- Divide by the number of years
Example:
- Rent 2014: €800
- Rent 2024: €1,100
- Increase: 37.5% in 10 years
- Average annual inflation on this item: 3.2%
Do this exercise on your 5 main expense items. You'll have a much more realistic idea of YOUR inflation than the official CPI.
Why don't wages increase as much as inflation?
Several reasons:
-
Time lag: Salary negotiations happen once a year, inflation is continuous
-
Bargaining power: High unemployment weakens workers
-
Globalization: Competition from low-wage countries limits increases
-
Productivity: Productivity gains are captured by capital, not labor
-
Cantillon effect: New money goes to financial assets first, not wages
The result: the share of wages in GDP has been declining for 40 years, while the share of profits increases.
Will inflation continue?
Probably yes, as long as the current system endures:
- Public debts are too high to be repaid normally
- Inflation is governments' preferred silent solution
- Central banks have positive inflation targets
- No politician has interest in austerity
The current monetary system needs inflation to function. It won't stop voluntarily.
Conclusion: Understanding Inflation to Protect Yourself
Inflation is not an economic inevitability. It's a deliberate policy that redistributes wealth from savers to debtors, from workers to capital owners, from future generations to current ones.
Key Takeaways
- Inflation is created by monetary expansion, not by rising prices
- Official CPI underestimates your real inflation
- Savers are the victims — your savings melt each year
- The Cantillon effect enriches those close to the monetary system
- 2% per year = 81% loss in 40 years
- Bitcoin is disinflationary by design (21 million max)
How to React
- Don't let your savings sleep in euros
- Invest in real assets (real estate, stocks, gold, Bitcoin)
- Understand your personal inflation (not the CPI)
- Diversify — no asset is perfect
- Educate yourself on how the monetary system works
Ignorance benefits the system. Knowledge sets you free.
Related Articles - Monetary Sovereignty
- Mass Manipulations Verifiable Facts
- Financial Censorship Account Freezing
- Money Transfer Bank vs Bitcoin
- Psychology of Money Morgan Housel
- Federal Reserve Creation Jekyll Island 1913
Sources and References
- Milton Friedman: "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon"
- ShadowStats.com: Alternative inflation calculations
- Boskin Commission Report (1996): CPI methodology changes
- INSEE: French CPI methodology documentation
- Federal Reserve: M2 money supply data
- ECB: Eurozone monetary statistics
- Richard Cantillon: "Essay on the Nature of Trade in General" (1730)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This document is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice.
Article written in December 2025 | Category: Money, Debt & Financial Sovereignty